By-election swings to Labour, a gain by the Greens and a hold by Plaid

Since Jeremy Corbyn became leader of the party . . . 

david henckeAward-winning journalist David Hencke adds to our information about pleasing voting gains in Corbyn-era by-election victories. A sister site was aware of only one instance, publishing Media 49: first borough council by-election Corbyn-era success, mainstream press balked – ignored by MSM, not what they wanted to hear.

As mainstream media and at least 12 vociferous Blairite MPs, who appear to think that ‘no one in their right mind (would currently) vote Labour, look for confirmatory evidence in advance of the Oldham Parliamentary by-election that he is already in trouble, David Hencke shows that in fact the reverse is true – “which might explain why the same mainstream media has been rather quiet about it”. Hencke highlights follow: 

Three by-elections in totally different seats have seen huge swings to Labour. I write about this in Tribune magazine.

  • They are Euxton North ward in Chorley, Lancashire; South Camberwell in London  and Banbury in Oxfordshire.In Chorley the party recorded a 12.7% wing –taking the seat with 57.3% share of the vote and winning with 697 votes. The big loser was UKIP whose share of the vote dropped by 12.4%– getting just 76 votes. The Tories were second and saw their vote drop by 0.3% with 443 votes.
  • In South Camberwell, in the London Borough of Southwark, Labour recorded a 9%swing – winning with 1,244 votes – and taking a 57.9% share of the vote. The party’s nearest rival, the Greens, saw a 1.3% drop and the Tories were down 1.4%. Only the Lib Dems, who were third, recorded a small increase of 2.3% but polled just 200 votes.
  • In Banbury, Oxfordshire, saw Labour take a seat from the Conservatives on a 5.9 %swing –taking 45% of the vote in the Grimsby and Castle ward in the town. The Tory vote fell by 7% and the Lib Dem vote fell by 1.5%. UKIP’s share of the vote did rise 5.6% – but the party only got 150 votes. Labour polled 781.

britain elects

The Twitter account Britain Elects, which records every council by-election in Britain, is showing that where people have gone out to vote in England, Labour’s surge in membership at grassroots level is starting to pay off in getting councillors re-elected and in one case gaining a seat.

The results reveal that the UKIP challenge has waned – except in areas where they hold council seats – with votes dropping substantially. This suggests that Nigel Farage’s ambition to replace Labour in the north of England is not working.

Labour’s most spectacular swing was in the Euxton North ward in Chorley, Lancashire recently. Here the party recorded a 12.7% swing –taking the seat with 57.3% share of the vote and winning with 697 votes. The big loser was UKIP whose share of the vote dropped by 12.4%– getting just 76 votes. The Tories were second and saw their vote drop by 0.3% with 443 votes.

Last month in South Camberwell, in the London Borough of Southwark, Labour recorded a 9% swing – winning with 1,244 votes – and taking a 57.9% share of the vote. The party’s nearest rival, the Greens, saw a 1.3 % drop and the Tories were down 1.4%. Only the Lib Dems, who were third, recorded a small increase of 2.3 %but polled just 200 votes. The third result in Banbury, Oxfordshire, saw Labour take a seat from the Conservatives on a 5.9 % swing –taking 45 % of the vote in the Grimsby and Castle ward in the town. The Tory vote fell by 7 % and the Lib Dem vote fell by 1.5%. UKIP’s share of the vote did rise 5.6 %– but the party only got 150 votes. Labour polled 781.

Lest we get too complacent, Hencke confirms the unsurprising news that Labour is not making headway in Scotland and adds: “The Conservatives are resilient in defending seats in their heartlands – and have gained three seats – one from Labour and two from the Liberal Democrats – since Mr Corbyn gained the leadership”.

But more recently from Britain Elects (November 13th)

  • Labour gain in Bridgend
  • Labour hold a Shropshire seat
  • Green gain in Dorset
  • Plaid hold Conwy- 

Read David Hencke’s article here: https://davidhencke.wordpress.com/2015/11/08/is-corbyns-labour-already-cutting-the-mustard-with-local-voters/

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Posted on November 16, 2015, in Democracy, Jeremy Corbyn, Labour Party, Politics, Watershed and tagged , , . Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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